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Golden Cross Backtest
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The Golden Cross strategy is based on crossing two moving averages, one that is shorter-term (usually the 50-day moving average) and one that is longer-term (usually the 200-day moving average). When the shorter-term moving average crosses above the longer-term moving average, it is seen as a bullish signal, indicating that the asset's price is likely to rise. In this backtest, we set Stop Loss and Trailing Stop Loss to 5 and Take Profit to 20 multiplies of the 14-day ATR indicator value and used the S&P 500 index components as a stock universe.
Type of Positions Long
 Position Opening 
Criteria for Opening a Position: index(sp500) and (sma(50) ca sma(200))
Prioritize Stocks by [?] Highest Capitalization
Order Execution Model: Close Prices
 Backtest Parameters 
Initial Capital: $100,000
Capital at Risk: 10% per trade
Portfolio Max Size: 10 positions
Comm. per Trade: $0.00  
Avg Bid-Ask Spread: 0.02%  
Stop Loss: 5 atr 
Trailing Stop Loss: 5 atr 
Take Profit: 20 atr 
Period: 1/1/2026 - 12/31/2026
 Results 
Total Profit: $25,431   Total Trades: 54  
Capital Growth:25.4%   Profit Trades, % of Total:48%  
Profit Factor: [?] 2.00  Avg Trade Duration, days:37.4  
Payoff Ratio: [?] 2.16   Avg Profit per Trade:4.83%  
Max Drawdown:11%   Avg Profit per Day:0.13%  
Max Drawdown, $: 14,430   Avg Market Impact: [?]
Minor  
 
Restoration Factor: [?] 1.76   Overall Viability Score: [?]
9 / 10
 
Avg Annual Return: 25.4%   CAGR: [?]25.4%  
 Equity Graph 
 Performance 
Year S&P 500 Equity JanFeb MarAprMay JunJulAug SepOctNov Dec
2026 10.73 25.43 2.00 9.03 -1.29 7.03 13.03 -4.25 -1.31 0.06 -4.39 4.47
        
Performed Trades  
 Symbol Entry Date
Entry
Price, $
 Exit Date
Exit
Price, $
 Shares Profit, $  Exit On
Stop
Loss, $
Take
Profit, $
  MI [?]
 DG 10/23/2026 132.69 10/30/2026 132.30 70 -29.15  Period End 113.69 219.30  Minor 
 META 10/06/2026 738.88 10/22/2026 651.26 14 -1,228.44  Stop Loss 651.26 1,218.90  Minor 
 COR 10/01/2026 309.78 10/30/2026 330.84 35 734.78  Period End 304.54 473.48  Minor 
 DIS 09/25/2026 106.15 10/30/2026 110.94 103 491.08  Period End 102.38 150.16  Minor 
 EL 09/23/2026 98.83 10/30/2026 109.23 119 1,235.00  Period End 95.24 163.21  Minor 
 PLTR 09/09/2026 169.53 10/30/2026 184.11 69 1,003.48  Period End 173.10 328.91  Minor 
 CMG 09/04/2026 36.96 09/25/2026 31.35 318 -1,785.94  Stop Loss 31.35 61.24  Minor 
 WDAY 09/01/2026 198.38 10/30/2026 197.82 59 -35.37  Period End 161.90 402.41  Minor 
 LMT 08/31/2026 557.78 10/02/2026 499.22 21 -1,231.83  Stop Loss 499.22 820.82  Minor 
 PFE 08/27/2026 28.02 10/30/2026 30.52 426 1,062.40  Period End 27.80 39.51  Minor 
 CTAS 08/05/2026 200.88 10/30/2026 219.82 59 1,114.87  Period End 198.50 313.64  Minor 
 ADP 07/30/2026 262.19 10/30/2026 293.84 46 1,453.20  Period End 265.42 438.09  Minor 
 ZBRA 07/17/2026 267.40 10/30/2026 361.26 45 4,220.45  Period End 339.40 480.91  Minor 
 SYY 07/15/2026 80.16 09/23/2026 77.35 153 -432.02  Stop Loss 77.35 114.91  Minor 
 GD 07/02/2026 371.73 09/04/2026 356.35 33 -510.05  Stop Loss 356.35 538.63  Minor 
 VRTX 06/29/2026 499.65 07/15/2026 470.37 24 -704.89  Stop Loss 470.37 752.84  Minor 
 MAA 06/17/2026 129.89 08/27/2026 127.68 95 -212.13  Stop Loss 127.68 182.80  Minor 
 GE 06/15/2026 341.32 08/31/2026 335.57 37 -215.40  Stop Loss 335.57 552.06  Minor 
 CCI 06/10/2026 90.96 06/25/2026 79.37 141 -1,637.08  Stop Loss 79.37 138.38  Minor 
 FOXA 06/09/2026 68.02 06/15/2026 56.73 189 -2,135.95  Stop Loss 59.57 105.24  Minor 
 CI 06/08/2026 288.00 08/05/2026 266.53 44 -946.90  Stop Loss 266.53 436.83  Minor 
 BA 06/01/2026 224.30 09/01/2026 206.02 57 -1,044.58  Stop Loss 206.02 364.60  Minor 
 CDNS 06/01/2026 414.16 07/17/2026 334.56 31 -2,469.67  Stop Loss 347.29 691.74  Minor 
 F 05/29/2026 17.25 06/17/2026 13.83 698 -2,386.51  Stop Loss 13.83 31.08  Minor 
 CRWD 05/26/2026 167.89 06/08/2026 165.65 63 -143.02  Stop Loss 165.65 290.96  Minor 
 DOC 05/11/2026 19.17 10/01/2026 19.67 555 277.98  Stop Loss 19.67 30.87  Minor 
 NXPI 05/11/2026 303.61 06/09/2026 279.15 35 -857.89  Stop Loss 279.15 536.19  Minor 
 KVUE 04/13/2026 16.67 09/09/2026 17.94 644 814.57  Stop Loss 17.94 23.60  Minor 
 NRG 04/13/2026 169.12 05/08/2026 140.15 63 -1,826.81  Stop Loss 140.15 305.96  Minor 
 HPE 04/08/2026 24.85 06/01/2026 45.40 432 8,872.19  Take Profit 39.19 45.40  Minor 
 DELL 03/26/2026 174.08 05/29/2026 416.74 58 14,069.45  Take Profit 286.27 335.95  Minor 
 DLR 03/09/2026 176.06 06/01/2026 182.45 58 368.42  Stop Loss 182.45 267.75  Minor 
 TT 03/06/2026 421.16 06/10/2026 438.42 24 412.05  Stop Loss 438.42 672.01  Minor 
 IRM 03/05/2026 104.91 07/02/2026 116.40 97 1,112.41  Stop Loss 116.40 173.86  Minor 
 EOG 03/05/2026 128.22 04/08/2026 130.80 79 201.62  Stop Loss 130.80 199.47  Minor 
 COST 03/04/2026 1,002.23 05/26/2026 997.83 9 -41.40  Stop Loss 997.83 1,383.59  Minor 
 DTE 02/26/2026 142.99 07/30/2026 140.17 69 -196.21  Stop Loss 140.17 199.61  Minor 
 HON 02/03/2026 238.93 03/20/2026 235.28 39 -144.21  Stop Loss 235.28 330.13  Minor 
 BALL 01/29/2026 56.01 03/05/2026 62.50 175 1,134.40  Stop Loss 62.50 76.47  Minor 
 AOS 01/29/2026 71.54 03/04/2026 71.80 137 33.04  Stop Loss 71.80 106.11  Minor 
 DE 01/29/2026 525.90 02/26/2026 609.86 18 1,509.09  Stop Loss 609.86 761.98  Minor 
 UNH 01/26/2026 344.85 01/27/2026 288.29 29 -1,641.91  Stop Loss 302.54 514.08  Minor 
 ELV 01/23/2026 365.76 01/27/2026 329.93 26 -933.32  Stop Loss 329.93 538.16  Minor 
 SPGI 01/20/2026 515.53 02/03/2026 489.29 18 -474.11  Stop Loss 489.29 709.90  Minor 
 TGT 01/14/2026 106.88 05/11/2026 116.12 93 857.02  Stop Loss 116.12 165.81  Minor 
 ITW 01/14/2026 254.07 03/05/2026 277.01 39 892.54  Stop Loss 277.01 336.07  Minor 
 ECL 01/13/2026 271.35 03/05/2026 284.12 36 457.78  Stop Loss 284.12 362.06  Minor 
 KMI 01/12/2026 26.17 04/08/2026 31.53 382 2,045.11  Stop Loss 31.54 36.37  Minor 
 VRTX 01/07/2026 484.15 01/20/2026 434.84 20 -987.89  Stop Loss 434.84 687.54  Minor 
 COP 01/06/2026 94.31 04/08/2026 120.47 106 2,770.41  Stop Loss 121.54 144.13  Minor 
 MRNA 01/06/2026 35.66 01/26/2026 46.69 280 3,085.36  Stop Loss 46.69 69.71  Minor 
 TSN 01/02/2026 56.56 03/09/2026 59.67 176 545.26  Stop Loss 59.85 76.04  Minor 
 BRK-B 01/02/2026 496.85 01/28/2026 473.01 20 -478.69  Stop Loss 473.13 620.65  Minor 
 APO 01/02/2026 144.79 01/23/2026 135.95 69 -611.58  Stop Loss 135.95 206.50  Minor 
54 trades
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Backtesting Results Disclaimer
Past hypothetical backtest results are neither an indicator nor a guarantee of future returns. Actual results may vary from the analysis. Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations and cannot fully account for market factors such as bid-ask spread, slippage, and commission costs. There are numerous other factors related to the markets, which cannot be fully accounted for in the backtesting algorithm, but all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.



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